Thursday, October 2, 2008

RVX: Why the RUT is likely Bottoming

The RVX (The Russell 2000's version of the "VIX") closed at it's all time high today at 49.40 after hitting an intraday high of 50.11.

This extremely high level of "fear" as measured by this index is showing us that we are close to a reversal as high RVX and VIX levels are historically unsustainable.

We are certainly in a bear market, but even in a bear market there are sporadic rallies to create lower highs. We are likely getting close to a short term bottom.

Below is a chart of the RVX showing that it has technically reached the target predicted by the Reverse Head and Shoulders pattern on the daily chart.

RVX Daily Chart:


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