Monday, June 9, 2008

RUT: Rising Wedge Trend Break Confirmed

The RUT traded down 5.11 to close at 735.26, but more importantly on the daily charts it broke the upward trendline of the rising wedge confirming the start of a potential breakdown as indicated by this pattern. The 2-3 month target would be 685 for me, but I'd first look for 720 to support in the near term. A break below 715 and it's a pretty clear shot to 685.

It put in a bottoming tail on the daily today, but in a downtrending market I have seen many RUT bottoming tails fail on the daily charts. I'm a big fan of trading bottoming tails and this may actually work, but in markets like this it may be best to wait for confirmation.

RUT Daily Chart:

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